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Bias error

Added by ray kettaren about 2 years ago

Hi everyone!
I need help if maybe someone has ever done it before. I want to make a bias error ((Observation-ModelProjection)/Observation)*100.
I wanna make it in percentage. All the data are already mean value so no time step. This is my command:

cdo -sub djf_eobs_rr_newdom.nc pr_djf.nc sub_bias_pr.nc
cdo div sub_bias_pr.nc djf_eobs_rr_newdom.nc bias_pr_djf.nc

I dont know why but it seems incorrect.
Thank you!


Replies (4)

RE: Bias error - Added by ray kettaren about 2 years ago

I have already corrected it but it seems still unrealistic value for the precipitation. This are the commands:
First I substract my ensemble RCM projection (pr_djf.nc) by the E-OBS data (djf_rr_newdom.nc).
After that I'll divide the result with the E-OBS again and multiply it with 100 for making it in percentage.

cdo sub pr_djf.nc djf_eobs_rr_newdom.nc sub_bias_pr.nc
cdo mulc,100 -div sub_bias_pr.nc djf_eobs_rr_newdom.nc bias_pr_djf.nc

The values are not realistic.If anyone can help please ! Thank you

RE: Bias error - Added by Ralf Mueller about 2 years ago

hm, I am nor sure if both physical quantities are comparable

  • djf_eobs_rr_newdom.nc holds an amount of rain in mm
  • pr_djf.nc hold a precipitation flux in mm per 450sec

I can see in the history that you multiplied this by the daylength in seconds (-mulc,86400) and reset the unit.

So all-in-all the values are not reliable for me. Further more you show in your table some error numbers which cannot be checked with files you uploaded. your uploads have only a single filestep whereas you show errors for different seasons.

In case your error number are in % these number might be fine. I cannot check the original values myself, so it;s very hard to comment on that

cheers
ralf

RE: Bias error - Added by ray kettaren about 2 years ago

Hello Ralf!
Thank you for the response. The pr_djf.nc data is from 5 ensemble RCM simulation. It is daily data that's why I multiply it with 86400.
But my question is it in mm per 450sec, how can I convert it into mm/daily?
Thank you very much

RE: Bias error - Added by Ralf Mueller about 2 years ago

In essence you best check the simulation code or ask the developers if possible. I see two options

  1. the unit is correct (flux in mm per 450sec)
    1. in this case data can a be instantaneous values: then your are lost because only 450 sec of the whole day is covered or
    2. it is a mean values: then you might multiply it with 192 (=86400/450) to get to the complete flux of the day
  2. the unit is not correct
    1. the values are already accumulated for a day and someone forgot about correcting the unit: in that case you can use the plain values for further daily analysis
    2. the rest is too much guessing - go back and check the model

best wishes
ralf

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